BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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East Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 92 Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 135.71
Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home W 138.90 42 3 1B 95 ( 4- 8) Norfolk St 2.94 * 16.21 36.06
2 09/07/2024 Away W * 149.52 20 14 1A 72 ( 5- 7) Old Dominion 13.57 -0.84 -7.57
3 09/14/2024 Home L * 129.01 19 21 1A 99 ( 5- 6) Appalachian St -6.95 10.72 4.95
4 09/21/2024 Away L * 121.96 24 35 1A 111 ( 8- 4) Liberty -14.00 0.10 3.00
5 09/28/2024 Home W * * 144.07 30 20 1A 90 ( 7- 6) Texas-San Antonio 8.11 9.62 1.89
6 10/05/2024 Away L * * 99.91 24 55 1A 117 ( 5- 7) UNC-Charlotte -36.05 0.16 5.05
7 10/19/2024 Away L * * 135.00 28 45 1A 52 (12- 2) Army -0.96 -30.61 -16.04
8 10/26/2024 Home W * * 141.77 56 34 1A 125 ( 3- 9) Temple 5.81 5.84 16.19
9 11/07/2024 Home W * * 158.87 49 14 1A 121 ( 3- 9) Florida Atlantic 22.91 7.34 12.09
10 11/14/2024 Away W * * 121.34 38 31 1A 133 ( 3- 9) Tulsa -14.61 18.26 21.61
11 11/23/2024 Away W * * 150.10 40 28 1A 93 ( 6- 7) North Texas 14.14 -4.57 -2.14
12 11/29/2024 Home L * * 131.13 20 34 1A 51 (10- 3) Navy -4.83 -8.29 -9.17
13 12/28/2024 Neutral W * 145.87 26 21 1A 75 ( 6- 7) North Carolina St 9.91 -8.06 -4.91
Averages 135.96 32.0 27.3
Best game: 158.87 = 35 point win over Florida Atlantic
Worst game: 99.91 = 31 point loss to UNC-Charlotte
Team stdev: 15.54